MARKET COMMENTARY
October 25, 2001 - Thursday night
Well, the market soared, as anticipated in yesterday's
commentary. But, I didn't expect the take-off dip. The sharp
dip at the open took my breath away, as I'm sure it did yours.
But, the continued rise later in the day more than made up for the dip,
with the QQQs closing today at 36.80. That is still short of the
37.50 that I'm looking for, so we need a little more run up tomorrow.
The S&P futures hit the 1100 mark, ending today at
1102.70 and could easily head back for 1056. That would put
pressure on the QQQs and cause some chopping and churning as the two
markets head in opposite direction. If the S&P breaks out from the
1100 channel the next stop is 1160.
The Dow has to make a play for 10,000. It
probably won't make it through the barrier the first time, but it at
least has to try. Since the Dow is now at resistance from March
and April 2001, it might chop around a bit before making the run up, but
again it might just surprise us with a quick pop up before anyone can
get ahold of it. My daily Dow model has just turned positive, and
it usually portends a lengthy move, not just a sideways or reversal
move. Usually the indicator shows 6-8 weeks of play before winding
down, so we just might see 10,000 again soon.
Disclaimer
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