
"The Sunny Side of the Street"
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Commentary
MONDAY NIGHT--OCT 28, 2002:
Today was a good day for shorting. Subscribers got intraday
alerts and profit opportunities.
INDU - DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS
Today's market (QQQs, SP, and INDU all three) was dull as dishwater.
Trading was very slow and the market only moved 76 points. The INDU
appears to be playing around with the Attractor at 8526, unable to make up
its mind whether to commit and move on up, or give up and go further down.
The
media is focusing on next week's Greenspeak day, believing that the Fed is
likely to cut interest rates. I don't think they will do anything.
If not, that will have a negative effect on the market, and that's why we
are moving shakily at the moment. Fear of commitment.
I stand by my previous conviction that the market will continue on upward
for another two-three weeks. But, on days like today, I can't ignore
the shorting opportunities, even if my longer term conviction is upward.
The weekly QQQ (chart above) shows that the Attractor at 26.89 is still
the clear goal as the market needs to test that resistance from the
underside. Whether it shoots through it or bounces off will be a big
revealing technical sign.
QQQ - NASDAQ TRUST
The daily QQQ has passed through the Attractor at 24.40 successfully and
appears to be holding. That's good news. Next stop is above us
at 26.19 and it will probably be a painful ride up, as all the talk is about
the Fed and interest rates. But, come on now, how much lower can they
go? We're almost at zero as it is.
On
the chart to the left you can see that price is following the cyan trendline
that we drew last week. That's another good sign. Whether it
follows from above or below, I don't care, as long as they stay close
together. We got a buy signal on the daily model of the QQQs two days
ago, so in general we are looking for buy signals. But, the world is
full of contrarians and the intraday opportunities today were to the
downside.
S&P 500 SPooS
The SPoos were not in lock-step with the QQQs today. In fact, I did
most of my shorting on the SPoos today, and pulled of a long trade on the
QQQs. The 15-minute SPZ chart broke below the sjh_DMA, after touching
the top band of the Sunny_Bands, giving us the signal that weakness was at
hand. At the time I was also watching the 5-minute SPZ chart, and as
it broke through the Attractor at 900 I decided to go short. Why?
More Gann numbers and the breaking of previous resistance. The market
dropped fairly quickly on down to 889.45, where I started looking for
excuses to take profits at any sign of upward movement. When we hit
887 I decided that was enough profit, and issued an Alert to Platinum
Members.
On the short-term charts (5-min and 15-min) we are playing nearly
sideways, with the bias being to the upside. We are currently
positioned for a play to the upside tomorrow.
But, be nimble, be quick and ready to go where the market tells us to.
Click Here
to go to the Weekend Stock Alerts Archives to view prior weeks'
performance.
This week's (10/28/02) Sunny Side of the Street Weekend Stock Alerts:
How Did We Do?
Click here to view archives of past
Platinum Zone commentary, including the Weekend Stock Alerts.
Click Here
to go to the Weekend Stock Alerts Archives to view prior weeks'
performance.
This week's (10/28/02) Sunny Side of the Street Weekend Stock Alerts:
|
Symbol |
BreakOut |
Run To |
Stop Loss |
Triggered? |
Goal Met? or Friday Close |
Net P/L |
1000 shares |
1 |
COST |
36.75 |
38.5 |
35.75 |
|
|
|
|
2 |
QCOM |
37.28 |
40 |
35.36 |
|
|
|
|
3 |
ABS |
27 |
29.39 |
26.00 |
|
|
|
|
4 |
TRMS |
51.69 |
57 |
49.72 |
|
|
|
|
5 |
KFY |
9.5 |
11 |
9.00 |
|
|
|
|
6 |
EBAY |
63.27 |
69 |
61.35 |
|
|
|
|
7 |
BAC |
70.70 |
72.70 |
69.56 |
|
|
|
|
8 |
FCGI |
6.40 |
8 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
9 |
ABM |
14.50 |
16 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
10 |
AAPL |
15.52 |
17 |
14.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
|
DISCLAIMERS:
Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading
system monthly performance is hypothetical unless otherwise specified, and is
based on the referenced systems hypothetical monthly performance as it would be
executed through TradeStation Securities if per the contract/account balance and
other specifications noted in the performance tables. Actual dollar and
percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors
not accounted for in these hypothetical statistics, including, but not limited
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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH
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LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE
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