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"The Sunny Side of the Street"

THURSDAY NIGHT--11/21/2002:

QQQ_15_20021121.JPG (166346 bytes)
Figure 1
symbol prev close upper Attractor lower Attractor
INDU 8804.84 9500 8450
QQQ 27.72 33.23 20.60
SPz02 928.50 963 875
    Remember: only 900 more people will ever be allowed to subscribe to the Platinum Zone.  The only way to get a spot after that, will be for someone else to drop out.  (That number includes free and gratis accounts to the media, etc...)  Subscribe now and get the first three months at a discount...only $99.95/mo.  Regularly $139.95/mo.
  Today I had a 2 hour private session with a favorite TradeStation student of mine.  We hadn't visited in quite some time, and we got to talking about my Dynamic Moving Average Indicator, and how it might work on other markets than the indexes.  He said, "How about Corn?"  Well, frankly, I was a little unnerved, because I had never looked at a chart of Corn futures.  At least I knew the symbol was C, however, so I was able to bring up the chart.  He asked, "How would your system do on this chart?"  Again, I was a bit agitated, but I dutifully put up the system on the Corn chart.  We brought up the System Performance summary, and miracle of miracles, it made money.  Whew!  Not only that, it had a Percent Profitable of 60%, a Ratio of 2.86 and a Profit Factor of 4.29.  Multiply all those numbers together and you get my CPC Index™, which is equal to an astonishing 7.36!  And, it made $165,000 profit in a year and a half.

Those of you who don't know what my CPC Index™ is need to do one of two things: (1) read my book, "Trading 102--Getting Down to Business", or (2) take my seminar in January.  Anyway, this is an astonishing result, because I usually say that you can't trade a system unless the CPC Index is greater than 1.2.  And, 7.36 is well beyond 1.2!

So, just for fun, take a look at a chart of Corn, and see what you think.

INVESTORS

Looking at the long-term view, today's market action still did not get out beyond the long-term trendline you'll see on the Weekly chart below.  That's of a little concern, it you are considering a long position, so beware.  Once it crosses that trendline, it should shoot straight for the next trendline, which is currently lying at about 1139, where there is also an Attractor.   

NDX_W_20021121.JPG (133199 bytes)
Figure 2

The overlapping cycles are still carrying the markets upward, at least for a few more days, until we get to the little red arrow I have drawn on the chart below.  That would be the crest of the inner cycle and should exert some downward pressure--even at the same time the larger cycle is still moving upward.  The result should be some sideways movement for a little while as the smaller cycle moves downward.

INDU_D_Cycle2002112a.jpg (153979 bytes)
Figure 3

TRADERS

My model is long QQQ from 11/20 8:00am (see Figure 1 above).  However, the 15-minute chart in Figure 1 above shows divergence on the RSI, and that is worrisome.  Logically it would be about time for a little corrective action, as the market usually doesn't put in more than 3 days of strong upward movement in a row.  

Today we just zoomed past the 26.89 resistance, which is usually how we get through resistance.  I hardly ever see a meandering waltz through resistance.  So, now 26.89 on the QQQs has been broken, and in the table at the top you will see a new Attractor for each index.

My Dynamic Average on the 15-minute chart is riding right on top of itself, and on any negative price movement will go into a sell signal tomorrow.  Be nimble, and take profits when you see them.  So far it looks like we have a sideways (time) corrective 4th wave in the making, which may or may not go down far enough to produce profits before the 5 wave comes in.                                                                                   

ALSO, notice below that some of the stock picks have been triggered.  I exit on Friday if there's a profit, and pick new stocks on Sunday night.  Sometimes the same ones qualify again, sometimes not.

Many happy returns!  And, stay nimble.                 

 

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 11/18/2002:

symbol breakout stop loss goal close if triggered?     profit/
loss
QCOM 37.15 32.55 43.30 40.68 $3,530
PCAR 46.26 44.69 48.00 48.98 $2,720
SNPS 50.00 47.35 54.00 52.25 $2,250
ERTS 67.00 68.50 66.30 67.50 $500
IBM 81.00 79.00 83.50 84.90 $3,900
SANM 3.45 3.19 3.75 3.481 $31
JDSU 2.80 2.64 3.00 3.21 $410
RNWK 3.80 3.61 4.00 4.08 $280
DISH 19.45 19.00 20.28 19.48 $30
WEN 28.18 27.67 28.74 no  
TOTAL   $13,651

 

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  AND... if you are a TradeStation user, you need to attend "TradeStation Made Easy" February 7-9, 2003.  Sunny knows TradeStation and EasyLanguage as only another Trader could, and the class is more engaging and jam packed with useful information than any other class you can find, at any price.  Enroll Now--she only takes 15 students.

CHART OVERVIEW:  for the real scoop, visit Yahoo Finance


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DISCLAIMERS:

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance is hypothetical unless otherwise specified, and is based on the referenced systems hypothetical monthly performance as it would be executed through TradeStation Securities if per the contract/account balance and other specifications noted in the performance tables. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these hypothetical statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system. Fees, commissions, and other expenses are not accounted for herein, and will affect investors net results in actual trading. While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate, given the hypothetical specifications, we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future. PAST OR HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

The CFTC requires the following disclosure statement in reference to hypothetical results:
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.

These trading systems, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition. In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA's.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of "standardizing" trading systems performance measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report. This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. SUNNY HARRIS & ASSOCIATES, INC, SUNNY HARRIS and/or  DOYEN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT MAKE NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.