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"The Sunny Side of the Street"

SUNDAY NIGHT--12/08/2002:

INDU_D_20021205a.jpg (147631 bytes)
Figure 1 - Daily Dow

Friday was another do-nothing day, as far as I'm concerned.  On the QQQs the day 's range was only about 0.6 point, and that in choppy enough fashion to whipsaw most traders out.

symbol prev close upper Attractor lower Attractor
INDU 8643.58 9500 8450
QQQ 26.54 33.23 20.60
SPz02 913.80 963 875
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  With three solid sideways days in a row, surely in the coming week we will see some movement.  Of course there's no way to tell which direction it will take, but the momentum and range are getting narrow enough to call for some sizeable movement in the near future.

On the Dow, price is sitting right on top of the Sunny_Bands midline and that, coupled with a low Average True Range, should be cause for the Dow to bounce from there on up toward 9500.  Of course, it won't happen in one day, and probably not in one week, but I think that's where we are headed.

IF RSI on the daily chart turns upward from its current position and rises above 65, the we will certainly be looking for a new bull leg to this market. 

On the weekly chart of the SPX I am watching to see what happens when as we reach for 974, the neckline of the head-and-shoulders.  One scenario is we could break above it and have a grand move upward, another scenario is we could hit that mark and reflect off it going on downward for some time to come, and a third scenario is we could trade for a while in the channel formed between 974 and 810.

The weekly chart of the QQQs is still fighting the trendlines I pointed out on 1205 and if we don't get through those lines in the next few trading sessions, I will be looking for downside action for the next few months.

On the 15-minute charts the QQQ just barely popped above resistance at 26.55 for a few bars on 1205, but the dropped below again for the remainder of the day.  This just shows that we are trading in a very narrow range for the past 3 days and I believe that means we are now in a setup for a large move.  RSI on the 15-minute chart show there is room at the top, and is not showing negative signs, so my guess is that we are looking for a move upward.

Be quick, be nimble, and always keep your respect for the markets--it's a risky business. 

 

 

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 12/08/2002:

(Last week's picks made a profit of $790.  Click Here to view the picks for last week, in the Archives.)

 

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
AEP 30 26 35
APC 50 44.5 57
BK 30 27.1 35.26
GM 40 47 37
NKE 48 45 52
MDT 47.29 43.62 51.65
TOTAL

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 12/01/2002:

symbol breakout stop loss goal closing price if triggered?     profit/
loss
NSOL 0.9 0.5 1.5    
COMS 5.3 5.0 6.25    
CMGI at market 1.0 3.0 yes  
ADCT 2.57 1.5 4.5    
MCLD 0.93 0.80 1.4 yes  
AMGN 48.7 43.46 54    
ALTR 15.25 13.0 20.0    
ADPT 7.44 5.16 10.00    
AAPL 16.43 15.00 18.25    
ADBE 30.4 28.9 33.23    
TOTAL  
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