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"The Sunny Side of the Street"

TUESDAY NIGHT--January 21, 2003

INDU_D_20030121.jpg (215282 bytes)
Figure 1 - Daily chart of INDU

The markets are continuing to head for the lower attractors, which have been in place and pulling on the market for about 6 months.  The INDU (Dow Jones Industrial Average) in Figure 1 above has broken an important resistance line at 8630 and  ...  

symbol  close upper Attractor lower Attractor
INDU 8442 9075 8236
QQQ 25.03 33.23 20.60
SPh03 888.5 963 875
 

...broke it today with force.  In my book that is bad news as it leaves open room for the markets to freefall until the next Attractor (support or resistance).  The Attractor at 25.15 had held for most of the day, with 

QQQ_15_20030121.jpg (124374 bytes)
Figure 2 - QQQ 15 minute broke resistance

the QQQs bouncing upward off the line until the last few minutes.  Then the final blow was dealt just before the markets closed, with the QQQs dropping below 25.15 to reach 25.03.

In last night's commentary I stated that I thought the markets would move upward, but not before hitting 25.00 on the QQQs.  Well, here it is, and it needs to hold firmly or it is likely to drop on down to the next Attractor at 20.60.

As of today's drop, my daily QQQ model is short and the intraday model (15-minute) is also short.  The model got whipsawed during the middle of today, by the market's sideways volatility, and who knows, may get ripped up again tomorrow.  

You might think I'm crazy, still saying I'm expecting the market to move upward.  But, even with its current craziness, it looks like a rounding bottom to me.  This is the kind of difficult trading we often see at turning points. Of course, it could still be a turning point and turn down, but I keep seeing technical indications that make me believe we are going sideways and then upward.

The boundaries I am watching carefully for tomorrow are 25 and 28.50 on the QQQs; 8630 and 8234 on the INDU; and 881 and 931 on the SPH03.

As always, stay nimble, humble  and take small losses and big wins.

 

   Don't miss it--Sunny only gives a few trading seminars each year.  She calls them "Solving the Puzzle" because she puts all the pieces together into one cohesive plan for you to become a better traderMake it your business!  View the syllabus--she only takes 15 students. January 17-19, 2003.  AND..to match Larry Williams' offer, on Friday we will be trading real-time, with real money.  I will split the winnings with the class, and if there are losses I'll keep them for myself.  Just think...the seminar could be free!

 


Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/13/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
TXN 17.50 16.00 20.00
ADBE 28.70 27.00 30.00
AMGN 50.60 48.70 53.00
APCC 15.65 15.00 16.75
CNXT 1.76 1.60 1.90
DISH 26.45 25.00 29.50
INTC 17.55 16.50 19.00
INTU 51.00 48.25 52.50
MCHP 28.00 26.24 30.00
QCOM 39.00 35.00 44.00
TOTAL  

ARCHIVE:

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/5/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
UNM mkt=18.25 17.49 19.11 19.02 $770
WPI 29.50 27.44 33 no
AHLS 0.83 0.50 1.4 no
ASDS 0.46 0.37 0.6 no
CNXT 1.85 1.5 2.5 no
JDSU 2.95 2.38 3.5 3.40 $450
LGTO 5.52 4.33 7.63 5.87 $350
MCHP 26 24 30 no
PCAR 48.3 46.3 51.6 no
RNWK 4.06 3.5 5 no
TOTAL $1,570
 

  AND... if you are a TradeStation user, you need to attend "TradeStation Made Easy" February 7-9, 2003.  Sunny knows TradeStation and EasyLanguage as only another Trader could, and the class is more engaging and jam packed with useful information than any other class you can find, at any price.  Enroll Now--she only takes 15 students.  And, the same real-time trading offer applies.


FAQ:  How do you decide whether the stock breaks out above the "Breakout" value listed in the table above.  For instance, it seems like you should have a loss on the stock symbol WPI for this week's picks.  ANSWER:  Let's hyperlink over to the Rules of Thumb in the Archives, so--click here.

JDSU Example Chart:  In this chart you can clearly see what I am observing when I prepare my "Weekend Stock Picks."  The Red Dot above January 6, 2003 shows the first 

JDSU_D_20030112.jpg (76375 bytes)
JDSU Daily Chart. 

day on which I could have entered this stock after my weekend alerts.  The horizontal line shows the price I listed as "Breakout."  The Breakout is a trigger price for me.  If the stock CLOSES above the horizontal trigger line, I buy the next morning on the open, if its price is still above the trigger line.

CHART OVERVIEW:  for the real scoop, visit Yahoo Finance


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