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"The Sunny Side of the Street"

THURSDAY NIGHT--January 23, 2003

INDU_D_20030123.jpg (163026 bytes)
Figure 1 - Daily chart of INDU

Thank you, Duane, for your complements about my Sunny Side of the Street commentary.  "I am still amazed by your ability to call Attractors.  For instance today's 25.0 and 25.50!  Great calls!  I can see them in hindsight, but not in the future." [more...]  

symbol  close upper Attractor lower Attractor
INDU 8369 9075 8236
QQQ 25.53 33.23 20.60
SPh03 883.5 963 875
 

...The Dow and the S&P were down today, with the QQQs going up.  The trading day had kind of an M shape to it--first going up in the morning, then down, then up and then again down at the close.  It was a difficult one to trade.  On the Dow we are almost down to the Attractor holding steady at 8234.  The bounce from there could go as high as 9000, but could just as easily get foreshortened by the Attractor at 8630.  Again I say I think we will stay in a trading range for a while longer, but we will know more in the next couple of days as we see whether the support at Dow 8234 gets broken.

QQQ_15_20030123.jpg (216308 bytes)
Figure 2 - QQQ 15 minute

On the QQQs price broke out today going above its Attractor at 25.50, but then coming right back down to 25.50 by the close.  Still, I think that was positive action, hopefully foreboding breakouts on the other indexes over the next few days.  My intraday model gave a buy signal this morning at 10:00amPT, but I was unwilling to follow it until price broke above 25.50, proving itself with strength.  Yet, price came back down to the 25.50 line, so it's not too late to get into a buy position on Friday, if price continues on upward in the morning.

INVESTORS

I'm really cautious right now about the long-term as we have just turned the corner on the double cycle and both cycles are now pointing downward.  That should put downward pressure on the Dow, causing some long-term correcting in price.  Now is a good time to be moving to the sidelines.

TRADERS

Friday could easily be an up day, with a bounce following the strong closes of Thursday.  Watch closely and be ready for the QQQs to tell us which way they want to move.  If I see an early up move off the 25.50 line, I'm considering going long for at least one ATR, which would put price at about 26.25.

As always, stay nimble, humble  and take small losses and big wins.

 

   Don't miss it--Sunny only gives a few trading seminars each year.  She calls them "Solving the Puzzle" because she puts all the pieces together into one cohesive plan for you to become a better traderMake it your business!  View the syllabus--she only takes 15 students. January 17-19, 2003.  AND..to match Larry Williams' offer, on Friday we will be trading real-time, with real money.  I will split the winnings with the class, and if there are losses I'll keep them for myself.  Just think...the seminar could be free!

 


Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/13/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
TXN 17.50 16.00 20.00
ADBE 28.70 27.00 30.00
AMGN 50.60 48.70 53.00
APCC 15.65 15.00 16.75
CNXT 1.76 1.60 1.90
DISH 26.45 25.00 29.50
INTC 17.55 16.50 19.00
INTU 51.00 48.25 52.50
MCHP 28.00 26.24 30.00
QCOM 39.00 35.00 44.00
TOTAL  

ARCHIVE:

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/5/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
UNM mkt=18.25 17.49 19.11 19.02 $770
WPI 29.50 27.44 33 no
AHLS 0.83 0.50 1.4 no
ASDS 0.46 0.37 0.6 no
CNXT 1.85 1.5 2.5 no
JDSU 2.95 2.38 3.5 3.40 $450
LGTO 5.52 4.33 7.63 5.87 $350
MCHP 26 24 30 no
PCAR 48.3 46.3 51.6 no
RNWK 4.06 3.5 5 no
TOTAL $1,570
 

  AND... if you are a TradeStation user, you need to attend "TradeStation Made Easy" February 7-9, 2003.  Sunny knows TradeStation and EasyLanguage as only another Trader could, and the class is more engaging and jam packed with useful information than any other class you can find, at any price.  Enroll Now--she only takes 15 students.  And, the same real-time trading offer applies.


FAQ:  How do you decide whether the stock breaks out above the "Breakout" value listed in the table above.  For instance, it seems like you should have a loss on the stock symbol WPI for this week's picks.  ANSWER:  Let's hyperlink over to the Rules of Thumb in the Archives, so--click here.

JDSU Example Chart:  In this chart you can clearly see what I am observing when I prepare my "Weekend Stock Picks."  The Red Dot above January 6, 2003 shows the first 

JDSU_D_20030112.jpg (76375 bytes)
JDSU Daily Chart. 

day on which I could have entered this stock after my weekend alerts.  The horizontal line shows the price I listed as "Breakout."  The Breakout is a trigger price for me.  If the stock CLOSES above the horizontal trigger line, I buy the next morning on the open, if its price is still above the trigger line.

CHART OVERVIEW:  for the real scoop, visit Yahoo Finance


1 Day
Chart
5 Days
Chart
1 Year
     

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