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"The Sunny Side of the Street"

THURSDAY NIGHT--January 30, 2003

QQQ_D_20030130.jpg (175786 bytes)
Figure 1 - Daily chart of QQQ w/ Range

We are still inside the box.  Today's market action was disappointing as prices snaked on down to the lower Attractor at 24.40 QQQ (84.75 SPY).  But, once again

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symbol  close upper Attractor lower Attractor
INDU 7945.13 9075 7650
QQQ 24.40 28.4 21.93
SPh03 840.30 875 815
GC 364.80 445 270

Visit (and frequent) the new SSS Bulletin Board, where you can post messages for Sunny and for other subscribers.

 

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price banged on the Attractor and did not go lower.  Again, I read that as a positive sign.  The question "what is true?" however, is best answered that the market went down today.  So, the money to be made was in the short trade, not the long one.

SPY_15_20030130.jpg (215367 bytes)
Figure 2 - SPY 15 min

Again I see no reason to get short for the long-term investors, but caution is surely advised.  What I can say with fair certainty is that this is a dangerous market to trade.

On the QQQs, today's bar tried to form a range expansion, but did nothing except undo yesterday's gains.  On the daily chart I see an Attractor just slightly lower, at 24.13 that might be tomorrow's trial.

The dip down today was much sharper on the INDU than on the other two indexes I watch, tumbling as the Dow broke 8000.  It is always disappointing to see the Dow below the 8000 mark psychologically.  It's especially disappointing from a technical standpoint since the next lower Attractor on the daily chart is down at about 7250.  The Attractor at the 8000 mark is strong both from a resistance and from a support point of view, so it is certainly possible that this could be a momentary overshoot and not a new leg down.

TRADERS: my model is short from about mid-day today, but I ignored the trade thinking price would bounce off the attractors too soon to take much profit.  Looks like I was wrong on that one.  But, tomorrow morning will tell.  I'll go wherever the open points.

As always, stay nimble, humble  and take small losses and big wins.

 

   Updated Seminar Schedule -- click here for new dates.  Several new breakthroughs in the past two years have given me new material to share with those interested in the "home business" of trading.  On Trader Tech U I will be giving a ten-week course on Indicators; in Carlsbad I will be giving several back-to-back sessions of "Solving the Puzzle", "TradeStation Made Easy" (including the use of the new TS7), and "Advanced EasyLanguage."

Make it your business.  What you don't know CAN hurt you.

 


Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/13/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
TXN 17.50 16.00 20.00
ADBE 28.70 27.00 30.00
AMGN 50.60 48.70 53.00
APCC 15.65 15.00 16.75
CNXT 1.76 1.60 1.90
DISH 26.45 25.00 29.50
INTC 17.55 16.50 19.00
INTU 51.00 48.25 52.50
MCHP 28.00 26.24 30.00
QCOM 39.00 35.00 44.00
TOTAL  

ARCHIVE:

Weekly Stock Picks for the week beginning 1/5/2003:

Symbol Breakout Stop Loss Goal  Close if Triggered Profit/Loss
UNM mkt=18.25 17.49 19.11 19.02 $770
WPI 29.50 27.44 33 no
AHLS 0.83 0.50 1.4 no
ASDS 0.46 0.37 0.6 no
CNXT 1.85 1.5 2.5 no
JDSU 2.95 2.38 3.5 3.40 $450
LGTO 5.52 4.33 7.63 5.87 $350
MCHP 26 24 30 no
PCAR 48.3 46.3 51.6 no
RNWK 4.06 3.5 5 no
TOTAL $1,570
 

  AND... if you are a TradeStation user, you need to attend "TradeStation Made Easy" February 7-9, 2003.  Sunny knows TradeStation and EasyLanguage as only another Trader could, and the class is more engaging and jam packed with useful information than any other class you can find, at any price.  Enroll Now--she only takes 15 students.  And, the same real-time trading offer applies.


FAQ:  How do you decide whether the stock breaks out above the "Breakout" value listed in the table above.  For instance, it seems like you should have a loss on the stock symbol WPI for this week's picks.  ANSWER:  Let's hyperlink over to the Rules of Thumb in the Archives, so--click here.

JDSU Example Chart:  In this chart you can clearly see what I am observing when I prepare my "Weekend Stock Picks."  The Red Dot above January 6, 2003 shows the first 

JDSU_D_20030112.jpg (76375 bytes)
JDSU Daily Chart. 

day on which I could have entered this stock after my weekend alerts.  The horizontal line shows the price I listed as "Breakout."  The Breakout is a trigger price for me.  If the stock CLOSES above the horizontal trigger line, I buy the next morning on the open, if its price is still above the trigger line.

CHART OVERVIEW:  for the real scoop, visit Yahoo Finance


1 Day
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5 Days
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Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance is hypothetical unless otherwise specified, and is based on the referenced systems hypothetical monthly performance as it would be executed through TradeStation Securities if per the contract/account balance and other specifications noted in the performance tables. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these hypothetical statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system. Fees, commissions, and other expenses are not accounted for herein, and will affect investors net results in actual trading. While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate, given the hypothetical specifications, we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future. PAST OR HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.

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