Sunday November 13, 2022 VOLUME 6 ISSUE 38
>>FREE Live Demo REPLAY Posted
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"You can use SunnyBands for Options on QQQ. When it goes purple I go! It's a sure bet. Price crosses above LOB sometimes, wait for a couple bars within LOB. Catch it on Friday on options expiration sell puts and it's a sure thing! I did it on TSLA too." - Aaron R.
If you Didn't Attend the "EasyLanguage Forum", but would like Access to the Videos and Slides, here's where to get them. Sam Tennis and I covered EasyLanguage from Beginners to Intermediate. And even some OOEL. It was intense and lots of fun. If you couldn't come and want the materials you may purchase them for a modest cost here: Order Form. You won't learn EasyLanguage anywhere else faster.
EasyLanguage Forum
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Samuel K. Tennis is world-renowned as "Mr. EasyLanguage" as he was the lead programmer, designer and programmer of EasyLanguage when he was working for Omega Research, which changed its name to TradeStation in 2001.
Sunny J. Harris has been a professional trader since 1981 (through all the Bear and Bull markets) and author of "TradeStation Made Easy!" She began using TradeStation & EasyLanguage (at the time "System Writer") since 1987 and has been a TradeStation Beta Tester ever since.
Sunny and Sam have been friends for more than 30 years and are partners in writing our upcoming "The Definitive Guide to TradeStation's EasyLanguage & OOEL" It looks like, at this point, it will be about another month before it goes to press. If you want an autographed copy, click here.
Monday November 14, 2022 at 12pmPT I will be talking at TimingResearch's CFN (Crowd Forecast News). With Wally Olopade and Michael Filighera. You'll hear and see how I predict the markets with my SunnyBands and DynamicMovingAverage_Histogram. Click to Register.
Podcast: The Sunny Harris Show! with Sam Tennis
If you haven't yet had a chance, please take a look at my Podcast: "The Sunny Harris Show! with Sam Tennis". It's FREE. Listen while you Trade.
The most recent Episode is with master trader and educator Anka Metcalf and before that CMT Robert Colby, and a historical visit with Larry Williams who is the master of commodity and futures trading as well as the prolific author of 11 books. Get to know him personally! The podcast is not to miss. Before that were legends Wally Olopade, Price Headley, Jody Samuels, Harry Boxer and Peter Eliades and then Michael Filighera illustrious Elliottician. Past episodes include: Glenn Neely (Elliott Wave Expert: neowave.com), Perry Kaufman (prolific author and master trader: kaufmansignals.com), and technical Rock Star Tim Slater. Upcoming episodes include Norman Hallett, Robert Colby , Larry Pesavento, Linda Bradford Raschke, Ted Hearne and Carolyn Boroden. I listen to Podcasts while I trade! You don't have to just sit there and listen and do nothing else.
Don't miss these Podcasts! These have been delightful and enlightening interviews into the lives of legendary traders and their take on the markets.
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QUICKLINKS: VantagePoint | Last Week I said | Dow | ES | SunnyBands Implications | Trading Room | Automated Strategy | Multiple Timeframes | Stocks | Oil | BitCoin & Etherium | Gold | Bonds | Diatribe | DEFINITIONS| Quips & Quotes
ALL NEW LIVE DEMO . WITH LIVE TRADING . TUESDAY OCT 18 at 10amPT . TRADE ALONG WITH SUNNY . ASK ALL THE QUESTIONS YOU CAN THINK OF
VantagePoint ai Prediction for Tomorrow
VP clearly projects the anticipated direction and magniture of tomorrow’s market. You can use any symbol; I trade the EMini S&P.
My read of this chart tells me that All Three of the Moving Averages (MAVs) are above the zero-line and headed upward although the Short Term MAV is about to turn downward.
The prediction for Monday calls for a higher high and a higher low, with the high at 34,140 and the low at 33,638.
Glenn Neely's S&P Prediction
Take a look at how accurate Glenn's chart patterns have been with his NEoWave River Theory and NEoWave technology. See where he thinks it will go next. Click on the link to visit his website.
Notice that he called for this down move followed by an up move over 6 weeks ago, which happened and now he thinks we will continue upward in a correction as much as half way up between recent highs and recent lows.
Here is the Weekly NEoWave projection of the S&P. He posts it on Monday afternoons, so it will be updated then.
http://www.neowave.com
SunnyBands Implications
Dow Jones
The stats for the Dow are:
The Dow is touching the UOB in an extended push upward. Generally when price is extending beyond the UOB it signals more upward action to follow. That is, until a Red bar dips back down under the UOB.
Since the January '22 all-time high at 31,082 we have had up-moves (Bear Rallys) 4 times. Each time the public thought "oh yay, the bear market has ended." And, of course, that brought in buyers who pumped it higher, only to get fooled by resuming down moves. Who knows this time; maybe the downdraft is over, and maybe not.
There is a strong Attractor overhead at 34,237. It seems likely we will be, at the least, attempting to touch that area if not break above it.
The Podcasts of Anka Metcalf and Robert Colby are now posted, Enjoy two great interviews.
In after-hours trading Dow futures (YM) are down 90 points at 33,677.
We are currently above all three MAVs on the Daily chart. Being above all three, and especially being above the 200-day MAV is a very positive sign.
The DMA_H has been showing Red the last 4 days (signalling Short) and had been in a Bullish formation prior to that. It could easily turn back to the DMA MidLine at 32,356 or it could defy the Red DMA_H by not confirming price action and go on up.
S&P 500
The stats for ES are:
The DMA_H turned Green on 9/28/22 and price moved up. The DMA_H went on to turn Gold and price moved up. It then turned Red and the Gray when the DMA went sideways (Flat). Price is now, after 6 days of testing the DMA MidLine, touching the Upper Outer Band (UOB) after a +220.75 point up week.
DMA_H is solid Gold and the DMA MidLine has started turning upward. All that means price will likely make a run for the 200-day MAV which lies overhead at 272.43.
REPORTS THIS WEEK:
Quips & Quotes
Here are a few quotes from my users these past weeks:
"I made $5,772 on the first day of my free trial of SunnyBands. It told me exactly where the turns were, even with the high volatility today. You are one of the very few people that allows test drives. It's nothing short of amazing!" -Aaron R.
"I want you to know that you’re truly an amazing person and how grateful we are to have you as a mentor/teacher. We Love You." - TJ N.
"Nice Bands! This morning I did a couple of quick MES buys and sells. Then I bought into an upward moving ES [signaled by the DMA_H]. Followed it to the top [SunnyBand]. Closed. Sold short at the top [SunnyBand.] Followed it to the bottom [SunnyBand]. A $4,000 account (what I had moved to the Futures account) returned about $2,000. Doesn’t get any better than that!". - Don M.
DMA_Histogram in Various TimeFrames
Here we have several different time frames on the ES Continuous Contract. This is a view of the RadarScreen with the DMA_Histogram showing the Direction of the DMA and what color it is.
When the DMA_Histogram turns Gold it means that the Gold DMA is on top. When it turns Purple it means that the Purple DMA is on top.
While Purple is on top and the DMA_H is below the zero-line it turns Green to highlight change of trend and the possibility of a Bullish movement.
While Gold is on top and the DMA_H is above the zero-line it turns Red to highlight change of trend and the possibility of a Bearish movement.
Note, I always wait for Price Action to confirm the move.
RadarScreen of Stocks
Here again, back by popular demand, is my RadarScreen of Stocks:
I sorted on the PHW this time to see which symbols produce the most potential profit. Notice that there are many Bullish // stocks on the top. As you'll see in the Scan below, there are many symbols now above all 3 MAVs.
Stock Scan for those Above all 3 MAVs
Notice that, of the 3,600 stocks I scan, there are now 795 stocks above their 3 MAVs. Last week there were 536 stocks above all three. This is yet more progress.
Stocks
KDP: Keuring Dr. Pepper
The stats for KDP are:
When I publicly recommended this stock in David Kosmider's TimingResearch "Lightning Round #1" price was down at 34.94. It is now back up to 37.34. Still profitable at just about $2.60 per share. I'm not giving up my coffee.
There are lots of Pennant formations on the chart speaking to belabored moves. Those signify lots of sideways action. I trade the Pennants by waiting for a breakout to one side or the other from the red horizontal lines on the top or bottom of the Pennant. Now we broke the most recent Pennant only to fall right back inside it.
In fact, KDP is below all three MAVs. Action is largely sideways since October.
I, an avid coffee drinker, (I'm having a cup while I write this) believed that this non-alcholic beverage vendor would continue to thrive. Keuring is a great coffeemaker and very popular. They even have one at my hairdresser's.
HUM is down (-23.52 points) this week after making a new all-time high with price currently at 528.53.
HUM
The stats for HUM are:
Last Close = +528.53 : the close Friday was at +528.53. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+552.05) = -23.52 Purple or Gold on top? Gold UOB = +581.41 UIB = +567.43 MidLine = +544.96 MidAngle = 14.71 LIB = +522.48 LOB = +508.50 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 535.55 - Below Above/Below 50-day MAV = 509.67 - Above Above/Below 200-day MAV = 466.47 - Above Color of DMA_H = Red All Time High = +571.30 Percent = -7.49%
HUM is up this week nearly 9 points. It is now near an all-time high.
The DMA_H turned Red last week after being strongly Gold. Price confirmed the DMA_H short signal on 11/04/22 at 552.05. With price now at 528.53 that's 24 points of potential profit.
The LOB lies at 508.50 and the LIB is at 522.48. Price is still above the 200- and 50-day MAVs but is now below the 21-day MAV. Looks to me like it would like to try hitting the LOB. If it doesn't then it's strong and could go back up to the DMA MidLIne at the least.
AMZN
The stats for AMZN are:
Last Close = +100.79 : the close Friday was at +100.79. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+90.98) = +9.81 Purple or Gold on top? Purple UOB = +111.21 UIB = +106.69 MidLine = +98.56 MidAngle = -1.15 LIB = +90.42 LOB = +85.90 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 104.42 - Below Above/Below 50-day MAV = 113.93 - Below Above/Below 200-day MAV = 129.24 - Below Color of DMA_H = Green All Time High = +188.65 Percent = -46.57%
AMZN is below all 3 MAVs.
AMZN is up on the week by +9.81 points. and price went right to the Flat DMA MidLine. Generally price action like this is followed by a move to the MidLine and then slightly above before moving back down.
AMZN is below all 3 MAVs and looks like it has farther down to go. It is down 47% since it's all time high.
TSLA
The stats for TSLA are:
Last Close = +195.97 : the close Friday was at +195.97. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+207.47) = -11.50 Purple or Gold on top? Purple UOB = +239.36 UIB = +228.37 MidLine = +209.89 MidAngle = -51.95 LIB = +191.41 LOB = +180.42 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 211.71 - Below Above/Below 50-day MAV = 246.09 - Below Above/Below 200-day MAV = 272.43 - Below Color of DMA_H = Green All Time High = +414.50 Percent = -52.72%
Cathy Wood's 5-year projection for TSLA (chart below) is still at 4,600 which would translate to 1,500 post split; she lowered her projection a few months ago. Several other pundits I keep track of are suggesting a much higher price also. The split should have been bullish but remember that we may be in a Bear market.
It's currently down nearly -53% from its all time high. On last week's chart TSLA formed a Double-Bottom which did not hold. Price dropped soundly on news that Elon Musk is micro-managing TWTR and he sold $4b worth of TSLA stock to cover expenses.
The SunnyBands Sell signal was on 9/21/22 at 300.80. That makes a potential short trade profit of $93.33 per share. Last week we were in a Buy signal which resulted in a loss of -12.72 per share.
VantagePoint is calling for a Higher Day with a high of 200.87 tomorrow and a low of 185.95.
This is still my favorite stock. But, at this point I'm a trader, not an investor yet. Not unless and until it passes and holds above the Flat DMA.
Seems to me people should be flocking to TSLA with gas prices high still. It is holding at $5.15/gal in my neighborhood.
I still believe we will continue to turn to carbon-neutral technologies and electric vehicles. I have not yet purchased their vehicle because I'm waiting for better batteries. I would want to get to LA and back on one charge before it is viable technology in my mind. When the batteries are better I expect this stock to really take off.
Notice that I think TSLA is still a good buy for lots of fundamental reasons (not the least of which is lower prices and a huge run-up potential.) Nevertheless, TSLA has dropped nearly 50% from its high and is now bouncing off its lows. Maybe.
ARKK
The stats for ARKK are:
Last Close = +40.40 : the close Friday was at +40.40. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+35.22) = +5.18 Purple or Gold on top? Purple UOB = +42.98 UIB = +40.81 MidLine = +37.24 MidAngle = 6.98 LIB = +33.68 LOB = +31.51 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 36.49 - Above Above/Below 50-day MAV = 38.55 - Above Above/Below 200-day MAV = 49.20 - Below Color of DMA_H = Green All Time High = +159.70 Percent = -74.70%
Months ago I said I thought ARKK price would tick on down to the LOB and possibly beyond. It did just that. But, currently she is below 2 of the MAVs (the 21 and 50) and is stilling right on the UIB, probably attempting to touch the UOB. ARKK is up +5.18 points on the week.
Who's On Top at the bottom of the chart is still Purple, and it has been Purple/Light Purple for a long time.
When the DMA MidLine is Flat I watch closely for Price to tell me the next direction. Don't jump the Flat DMA.
When you think about your own trading successes (or lack thereof), take a look at what one of the most notable traders (Cathy Wood) has done. Don't feel bad. It happens to the best of us.
ARKK got rid of 370,568 shares of MTLS on Friday. in her holdings as of Friday's report.
I do think, still, that she over-trades. And bottom fishing is a risky business.
Tonight's chart is on a Monthly timeframe. It shows her performance better. You'll note that the is now broaching the previous lows and needs to best that to keep face. Otherwise she's losing eveything she gained over the last 2 years.
MSFT
Last Close = +247.11 : the close Friday was at +247.11. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+221.39) = +25.72 Purple or Gold on top? Purple UOB = +252.29 UIB = +245.48 MidLine = +235.10 MidAngle = 31.17 LIB = +224.72 LOB = +217.91 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 233.27 - Above Above/Below 50-day MAV = 239.49 - Above Above/Below 200-day MAV = 269.28 - Below Color of DMA_H = Green All Time High = +349.67 Percent = -29.33%
MSFT (closing at 247.11 Friday) is above the two short-term MAVs and below the 200-day MAV. The DMA MidLine (at 235.10) is relatively Flat which tells me price is touching the UIB and headed for the UOB which lies at 252.29.
Price is now back above the DMA, and above the UIB, still heading upward.
The DMA_H signalled a Buy on 11/04/22, if and only if it is confirmed by Price Action, which it was confirmed on 11/04/22. Now with price at 247.10 that's a potential profit of $25.71 per share.
Now it is below the 2 short-term MAVs and is trying to rise toward the 200-day MAV which lies at 269.28 or so. We can hope, but keep our eyes on the bouncing ball (SM_CurrentPrice). There is no reason for me to be a buyer yet. I always wait for price action to confirm. Beyond the Buy on 11/04/22 we are looking for at least the UOB at 252.09. That's another potential move of ~17 points.
The long-term trendline now shows that MSFT is down about 37% from its all-time high. This is one of the reasons we are still in a Bear market.
The NASDAQ (where the tech stocks live) is down -29.33% since January. Now that's a Bear Market to me. Reminds me of 2000-2002 when it was down -78%. We shall see...
Don't you think you should purchase the SunnyBands and DMA_H for your own? Sure helps Profits! Are you serious about making money trading? You're leaving money on the table if you aren't trading with SunnyBands.
Buy the DMA_H and SunnyBands for yourself. They are life savers. I totally rely on them for my own trading. And I want you to have the success you deserve! You can have these indicators for yourself. They are a great trading tool! And now I have a new indicator that plots a series of colored dots letting you see at a glance Who's On Top, Purple or Gold. Here's what it looks like. It is the series of Purple and Gold dots at the bottom of the chart.
Please join my Podcast (The Sunny Harris Show! with Sam Tennis). It's a lot of fun getting to know the Gurus from a personal standpoint and hear their predictions for the coming market. I listen to podcasts while I trade. The most recent Podcast is with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.
Oil
The stats for CL are:
Crude Light (CL) on a Daily chart (closing at +92.61 Friday) rose again this past week and now gas at my pump is down a bit to $5.15/gal.
The DMA Histogram was showing solid Green this week until 11/08/22 when it went Red. It has been meandering sideways since then with no confirmation from price.
Price hit my lower target of $80 on 9/27/22 and bounced up from there. But it is not making new highs.
On the weekly chart we are in a tight congestion pattern moving sideways. Price is touching the DMA MidLine and could be turned back from that level. Any move above the DMA MidLIne could portend higher prices at the pump and more inflation.
Putin will decide where price is going next. If, and it looks likely, Russia begins to support Kaliningrad to the West of Lithuania and North of Poland we will get into a war with Putin defending Lithuania and Poland, members of the EU. If that happens, crude will be needed to support the war and prices will respond.
BitCoin, Etherium, Gold, Bonds
BitCoin
The stats for BTC are:
Last Close = +16,050 : the close Friday was at +16,050. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+21,155) = -5,105 Purple or Gold on top? Purple UOB = +22,622 UIB = +21,221 MidLine = +19,035 MidAngle = -89.68 LIB = +16,850 LOB = +15,449 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 19432.38 - Below Above/Below 50-day MAV = 19506.50 - Below Above/Below 200-day MAV = 28848.67 - Below Color of DMA_H = Purple All Time High = +69,975 Percent = -77.06%
BitCoin is down more than 77% since its all time high of 69,965 on 11/10/21. In after hours trading it is down -515 points this evening at 15,535. The news of FTX's collapse has everything to do with the public's confidence in Crypto currencies.
Notice the horizontal line I've place on this Monthly Chart. Coming from the lows of 2020 this line should hold or it looks like we are in for a further collapse of BitCoin.
Purple is now on top on the daily chart of the DMA with the Histogram showing Purple for the last several days after showing Gold for a few days.
It is struggling while deciding where to go next.
In our Podcast interview with Ted Hearne last Saturday, he pointed out that the stock market is going down and Bitcoin is going sideways. He believes that shows strength in BitCoin.
Ethereum
The stats for Ethereum are:
Last Close = +1,266.46 : the close Friday was at +1,266.46. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+1,647.36) = -380.90 Purple or Gold on top? Gold UOB = +1,763.90 UIB = +1,630.38 MidLine = +1,428.41 MidAngle = -79.57 LIB = +1,226.45 LOB = +1,092.93 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 1416.40 - Below Above/Below 50-day MAV = 1420.49 - Below Above/Below 200-day MAV = 1990.20 - Below Color of DMA_H = Red All Time High = +4,867.81 Percent = -73.98%
As you know, I haven't held any BitCoin. Instead, I have had ETHUSD (Ethereum) since its low in May 2021. I'm still holding ETHUSD and intend to hold it for years just to see what happens. Currently it is below my buy-in point. Why not sell? Because I'm in this one for the long-term and expect it to take off at some point. If it doesn't, oh well. It was an interesting experiment.
The chart of ETHUSD is now moving solidly downward. It is firmly above its low and is right on the DMA MidLine. If confidence comes back in opposition to the failure of FTX I expect ETHUSD to recover somewhat. If it doesn't then that explains the fundamentals behind its hesitation at the DMA MidLine.
Gold
The stats for Gold are:
Last Close = +1,769.4 : the close Friday was at +1,769.4. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+1,676.6) = +92.8 Purple or Gold on top? Gold UOB = +1,771.9 UIB = +1,743.5 MidLine = +1,696.8 MidAngle = 84.36 LIB = +1,650.2 LOB = +1,621.8 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 1669.95 - Above Above/Below 50-day MAV = 1683.00 - Above Above/Below 200-day MAV = 1821.70 - Below Color of DMA_H = Gold All Time High = +2,107.9 Percent = -16.06%
Gold. Gold is up. +92.8 points this week.
The DMA is now Purple on Top. The Buy signal came on 11/04/22 at 1676.60 and price is now 1766.50, for a potential long trade profit of almost $90 per contract. It pays to trade with SunnyBands and the DMA_H.
Price is above the UIB and yet below the UOB. The UOB lies at 1,771.90 and that's where I think Gold is going.
Gold is above the two short-term MAVs but still below the 200-day MAV . NOTE: Glenn Neely (of NEoWave Forecasting, and our 4th Podcast) thinks Gold has an up-move coming for the near future. It's a riveting Podcast!
Bonds
The stats for @US are:
Last Close = +123.81250 : the close Friday was at +123.81250. Change from last Sunday (+/-) (+119.43750) = +4.37500 Purple or Gold on top? Gold UOB = +125.99278 UIB = +124.33167 MidLine = +121.80000 MidAngle = 7.27 LIB = +119.26833 LOB = +117.60722 Above/Below 21-day MAV = 121.12 - Above Above/Below 50-day MAV = 125.69 - Below Above/Below 200-day MAV = 138.48 - Below Color of DMA_H = Gold All Time High = +169.37500 Percent = -26.90%
Bonds are up on the week by +92.8 points.
In after hours trading bonds are down 19/32 of a point.
On the monthly chart bonds are in a clear downward progression since 4/30/20. And headed lower. Bonds go lower, interest rates go higher.
In fact, price is almost to the 30% down retracement. That could support further downside action and thus higher effective interest rates.
Bonds go down, yields go up. In fact, the 2-yr / 10-year Treasuries yield curve is now inverted again; that is the yield on the short-term treasuries is less than the yield on the longer-term. Looks like we are expecting even more inflation and higher interest rates, probably by another 0.75 points this next time.
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